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China's policy toward the United States has been a relatively sophisticated response to the post-Cold War political environment and the U.S. position in global affairs. China has developed a hegemonic policy in the Western Pacific in response to the U.S. military presence in the region.
China's rise presents an overall risk for the international system. The three-fold increase in China's economic growth over the past 30 years has combined with a decline in the U.S. economy to increase interdependence, making it harder for the United States to pursue its foreign policy goals and simultaneously impose its values globally.
U.S. efforts to contain or counter China have been predicated on the assumption that China's rise is a result of market reforms in response to the end of the Cold War, and that Beijing is not a hegemon whose actions are driven by an ideological agenda. This works to some extent, but it ignores underlying tensions in Chinese society and the fact that the Communist Party has long relied on a strategy of gradualism to build its legitimacy. The party's political legitimacy also rests on the ability to deliver economic prosperity, and this is largely determined by the state's ability to secure China's energy resources. If the state cannot do this, the legitimacy of the party and its leadership will be undermined, leading to greater internal instability.
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